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時間:2018-08-15 11:53:48作者:

一、 宏觀經濟

GUONEIFANGMIAN:

安徽快31、ZHONGGUO6YUEGUANFANGZHIZAOYEPMI 51.50,FEIZHIZAOYEPMI 55,ZONGHEPMI 54.40。GUOJIATONGJIJURENWEI,ZHIZAOYEZONGTIBAOCHIKUOZHANG,FEIZHIZAOYEZONGTISHANGBAOCHIPINGWENXIANGHAOFAZHANSHITOU。6YUECAIXINZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUELVEJIANG,CHANCHUZENGSUSHENGZHISIGEYUEZUIGAO,XINDINGDANZENGSUFANGHUAN,XINCHUKOUDINGDANLIANXUSANGEYUECHUYUSHOUSUOQUJIAN,JIUYEJIXUXIAJIANG。

安徽快32、ZHONGGUO6YUECPITONGBIXIAOFUSHANGZHANG,CHUANGSANGEYUEYILAIXINGAO,ZHUYAOSHOUYILIAOBAOJIAN、JIAOTONGJITONGXINJIAGESHANGZHANGDEYINGXIANG;DANCPITONGBIZHANGFULIANXUDISANGEYUEDIYU2%,HUANBILIANXU4GEYUECHUXIANFUZENGCHANG。ZHONGGUO6YUEPPITONGBIGAOYUYUQIQIELIANXUDIERGEYUEHUANBISHANGZHANG,TONGBIZENGFUZEDADAO2018NIANLAIDEZUIGAOZHI,YOUJIASHANGZHANGDEGONGXIANZUIDA。

3、ZHONGGUO7YUEGUANFANGFEIZHIZAOYEPMI 54,YUQI 54.9,QIANZHI 55;GUANFANGZONGHEPMI 53.6,QIANZHI 54.4。ZHONGGUO7YUEZHIZAOYEHUODONGXIAOFUFANGHUAN,DANLIANXU24GEYUEGAOYURONGKUXIAN,YANXUKUOZHANGTAISHI。FEIZHIZAOYEJINGQIDUSUIWEI11GEYUELAIXINDI,DANRENGBAOCHIZAIGAOJINGQIQUJIAN。

4、ZHONGGUO7YUECAIXINZHIZAOYEPMI 50.8,YUQI50.9,QIANZHI51,ZENGSUFANGHUANZHI8GEYUELAIDIDIAN。ZHONGGUO7YUECAIXINZHIZAOYEPMIJIXUJIAOSHANGYUEXIAOFUXIAJIANG,XIANSHIZHIZAOYEJINGQIDUWENHEZOURUO,CHUKOUTUOLEIJIADA,DANQIYEJIJIZENGJIAKUCUN、ZIJINZHOUZHUANYALIYOUSUOHUANSHI。

GUOJIFANGMIAN:

1、MEIGUO6YUEFEINONGSHUJUHAOYUYUQI,YINWEIZHIZAOXINGYEZENGJIALEJIUYERENSHU。SHIYELVCONG18NIANDIDIANYILAIYOUSUOSHANGSHENG,DANWENDINGDEZHAOPINHEBUDUANZENGJIADEQIUZHIZHEBIAOMINGJIUYESHICHANGQIANGJING。DANSHIXINZENGSUBUJIYUQIHEQIANZHI,ANSHITONGZHANGYALIWENHE,KENENGSHIMEILIANCHUJINXINGZHUBUJIAXI。

安徽快32、MEIGUO6YUEPPIZENGFUXIAOFUGAOYUYUQI,CHUANGLIUNIANBANYILAIZUIDAZENGFU,ZHUYAOSHOUYIYUQIYOUJIAGESHANGYANG,FUWUYEHEJIDONGCHEDECHENGBENYEYOUSUOSHANGZHANG。MEIGUO6YUEJIDIAOHOUCPIYUELVXIAOFUSHANGSHENG,YINQIYOUJIAGESHANGZHANGFANGHUAN,QIEFUZHUANGJIAGEYOUSUOXIADIE,DANQIANZAIDEQUSHIRENGRANBIAOMINGMEIGUOTONGZHANGYALIZAIWENBUSHANGSHENG。

3、MEIGUOERJIDUGDPCHUZHIZENGCHANG4.1%,CHUANG2014NIANSANJIDULAIZUIGAOZENGSU,DANLVEDIYUYUQI,SHOUYIYUPCEYIJICHUKOUJIASUZENGCHANG、LIANBANGZHENGFUZHICHUZENGJIAHEFEIZHUZHAISHANGYETOUZIZENGCHANG。

4、MEIGUO7YUEADPJIUYERENSHUZENGJIA21.9WANREN,GAOYUYUQI。SHUJUSHUOMINGMEIYOUJIXIANGXIANSHILAODONGLISHICHANGCHUXIANFANGHUAN,JIHUMEIGEXINGYEDOUYOUQIANGJINGZENGCHANG,XIAOQIYEDEZHAOPINYEYOUSHANGSHENG。


 二、 本月市場走勢分析

ZHIZHONGDIANCHANPINJIEXI:TONGJIAJI6YUEFENXIANZHANGHOUDIE,HUTONGZHULICONG5.45WANGAOWEIHUILUOYIHOU,ZAI7YUEFENYIRANMEIYOUZHIDIEDEJIXIANG。ZAI7YUEZHONGXUNHUTONGZHULIYIDUDIEPO4.8WANZHICHENGWEI,DADAO47520YUAN/DUN,CHUANGCHUJINYINIANDEXINDI。SUIZAIYUEMOYOUSUOFANDAN,ZUIGAOMOZHI5WANZHENGSHUWEI,DANWUNAISHICHANGBEIGUANQINGXUNONGHOU,WULITUIGAOJIAGE。ZONGTILAIKAN,RENGRANBUNENGSHUODAODIBULE。

SHICHANGFANGMIAN,XIANHUOTONGGENSUIQIHUOBIANDONG,HUADONGXIANHUODIEDUOZHANGSHAO,CHULEYUECHUJITIAN,QITASHIKEDOUCHUYU5WANJIAGEXIAFANG。ERZHEYIBOLIANXUXIADIESHIJIANHEFUDUYECHAOGUOSHICHANGDEYUQI。BUSHAOXIANHUOSHANGJIAZAIKANDAODADIEHOU,KAISHIDUNHUO,XIWANGTONGJIAKEYIFANDAN,CONGERHUOLI。XIAYOUJIAGONGCHANGJIAZONGTILAIKAN,BAOCHIZHENGCHANGDEKUCUNJIEGOUJUDUO,YEYOUBUFENCHANGJIAZAIKANDAOJIAGEDADIEHOU,KAISHIJIAKUCUN。BUGUOSUIZHU7YUECHUDEDADIE,SHICHANGCHAODIQINGXUSHENGWEN,XIANHUOSHANGJIAYEKAISHITINGJIA,SHENGTIESHUIZAISHANGBANYUEYIDUCHIXUSHANGZHANGTAISHI。

HONGGUANFANGMIAN,6YUEYILAIYOUYUMAOYIZHANCHIXUSHENGJI,SHICHANGKONGHUANGQINGXUSHENGWEN,YINFATONGJIABAODIE。BUZHISHIJINSHUSHICHANG,MAOYIJINZHANGHUOYIZHUJIANZAISUOYOUSHICHANGGUANSHULEYUELAIYUEGAODEBUQUEDINGXING。DANJIUDUANZHONGQILAISHUO,ZHEZHONGBUQUEDINGXINGSUODAILAIDEKONGHUANGQINGXUYITIQIANSHIFANGCHONGFEN。GUONEIFANGMIAN,JINRI,GUONEIZHENGCEMIANNUANFENGPINCHUI。7YUE23RIGUOWUYUANCHANGWUHUIYICHUANDACHUJIJIXINHAO,BIAOMINGJIANGGENGJIAJIJIDELIYONGCAIZHENGZHENGCE,BINGQIECAIYONGSONGJINSHIDUDEHUOBIZHENGCE,YUJIXIABANNIANJIJIANTOUZIJIANGQIWENHUISHENG,JINGJIJIBENMIANYUQIGAISHAN。ZONGTIKAN,ZHENGCEMIANNUANFENGPINCHUI,JINGJIJIBENMIANYUQIGAISHAN,SHICHANGBIXIANQINGXUJIE,DUIYOUSEJINSHUSHICHANGXINGCHENGLIDUO。

后市分析:安徽快3目前市場情緒有所企穩,但銅價受宏觀因素影響仍有反復。中美貿易爭端升級持續施壓工業金屬需求前景,此外,中國經濟放緩預期利空銅價,加之美聯儲三季度還將大概率加息的預期支撐美元走強,銅價繼續承壓。但最近全球銅礦罷工消息滿天飛,且下半年勞資協議面臨集體到期,將成為銅市關注的焦點,上游供應趨緊預期支撐銅價。在利空持續消化的前提下,疊加國內消費市場后期向好,銅價下行空間或將有限,料回落調整之后震蕩反彈。

三、銅庫存

安徽快3KUCUNFANGMIAN:JIEZHI7YUE20RI,SHANGQISUOKUCUNXIAOJIYUE21.1WANDUN,JIAO6YUE1RIDE27.2WANDUN,XIAJIANGYUE6WANDUN; COMEXKUCUN21.6WANDUN,JIAO6YUE1RIDE23.1WANDUNJIANSHAO1.5WANDUN:LMEKUCUN25.5WANDUN,JIAO6YUE1RIKUCUNJIANSHAOYUE6.2WANDUN。TONGJIAWEICHIDIWEIYUNXING,QIEJINGFEIJIACHAJIAOXIAO,XIYINXIAYOUQIYECAIGOUJINGLIAN,YUQIZAITONGJIAPIANRUODEQINGKUANGXIA,XIAYOUXUQIUJIXUYANXU。

四、 市場行情動態

(一)銅精礦價格行情動態

品名規格產地價格(元/噸)漲跌
銅精礦0.2山東40000-41000-100
銅精礦0.2內蒙古40200-40400-100
銅精礦0.2江蘇40300-40500-100
銅精礦0.2湖北40400-40800-100
銅精礦0.2江西40000-40200-100
銅精礦0.2云南40000-40400-100
www.cableabc.com

 

(二)廢銅價格行情動態

1. 江蘇廢銅價格及市場動態

城市含量品名不含稅價(元/噸)漲跌
江蘇92-93%馬達銅40500-408000
江蘇-火燒線43600-438000
江蘇1#1#光亮銅線44400-446000
www.cableabc.com

 

2. 天津廢銅價格及市場動態

城市含量品名不含稅價(元/噸)漲跌
天津94-95%二號銅42200-42500-100
天津92-94%馬達銅41300-41500-100
天津1#1#光亮銅線44500-44700-100
天津95-97%火燒線42300-42600-100
www.cableabc.com


3. 上海廢銅價格及市場動態

省份含量品名不含稅價(元/噸)漲跌
上海92-94%馬達銅40500-40900-100
上海H59黃雜銅33800-34000-100
上海1#1#光亮銅線44800-45000-100
www.cableabc.com

 

4. 河北廢銅價格及市場動態

城市含量品名不含稅價(元/噸)漲跌
河北-火燒線42600-428000
河北1#1#光亮銅線43500-438000
河北-黃銅水箱27200-274000
www.cableabc.com

 

5. 湖南廢銅價格及市場動態

城市含量品名不含稅價(元/噸)漲跌
湖南92-93%二號銅40700-410000
湖南進口黃雜銅25800-260000
湖南1#1#光亮銅線44400-446000
www.cableabc.com


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